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Poseidon Lost

We thought the sea was infinite and inexhaustible. It is not. Calling for a new vision to save our oceans. Table of Contents | Digital Edition
Guardian Environmental Network

Arctic Sea Ice Melting at Fast Pace

image of John Vidal
The Arctic could be completely free of sea ice during the summer months a full 40 years sooner than previously estimated.

Arctic sea ice has melted to a level not recorded since satellite observations started in 1972 -- and almost certainly not experienced for at least 8,000 years, polar scientists say.

Daily satellite sea-ice maps released by Bremen University physicists in Germany show that floating ice in the Arctic covered an area of 4.24 million square kilometres (1.64 million square miles) on September 8. The previous one-day minimum was 4.27 million sq km (1.65 million square miles) on September 17,  2007. The U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Centre in Boulder, Colorado, which also tracks the extent of sea ice, announced similar results this week.

The German researchers said the record melt was undoubtedly because of human-induced global warming. "The sea-ice retreat can no (longer) be explained with the natural variability from one year to the next, caused by weather influence," said Georg Heygster, head of the Institute of Environmental Physics at Bremen. "It seems to be clear that this is a further consequence of man-made global warming, with global consequences."

Floating Arctic sea ice naturally melts and re-freezes annually, but the speed of change in a generation has shocked scientists -- the rate of decline is now twice as great as it was in 1972, according to the NSIDC, with a decline of about 10 percent per decade.

Arctic temperatures have risen more than twice as fast as the global average over the past half century.

Separate, less reliable, research suggests that Arctic ice is in a downward spiral, declining in area but also thinning. Using records of air, wind,  and sea temperature, scientists from the Polar Science Center of the University of Washington, Seattle, announced last week that the Arctic sea-ice volume reached its lowest-ever level in 2010 and was on course to set more records this year.

The new data suggests that the volume of sea ice last month appeared to be about 2,135 cubic miles --just half the average volume and 62 percent lower than the maximum volume of ice that covered the Arctic in 1979. The research will be published in a forthcoming issue of the Journal of Geophysical Research.

If current trends continue, a largely ice-free Arctic in the summer months is likely within 30 years -- up to 40 years earlier than was anticipated in the last Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessment report. The last time the Arctic was uncontestably free of summertime ice was 125,000 years ago, at the height of the last major interglacial period, known as the Eemian.

"This stunning loss of Arctic sea ice is yet another wake-up call that climate change is here now and is having devastating effects around the world," Shaye Wolf, climate science director at the Center for Biological Diversity in San Francisco, told journalists.

Arctic ice plays a critical role in regulating Earth's climate by reflecting sunlight and keeping the polar region cool. Retreating summer sea ice is widely described by scientists as both a measure and a driver of global warming, with negative impacts on a local and planetary scale.

This year, both the Northwest and Northeast passages were mostly ice free, as they have been twice since 2008. Last month, the 74,000-tonne STI Heritage tanker passed through the Northeast Passage with the assistance of ice breakers in just eight days on its way from Houston, Texas, to Thailand. The northeast sea route, which links the Atlantic to the Pacific, is likely to become a commercial ship operator's favorite, saving thousands of miles and avoiding tolls on the Suez Canal.

Further evidence of dramatic change in the Arctic came last week from Alan Hubbard, a Welsh glaciologist at Aberystwyth University, who has been studying the Petermann glacier in northern Greenland for several years. The glacier, which covers about 6 percent of the icecap, is 186 miles long and up to 3,280 feet high. In August of last year, a 100-square-mile block of ice calved from the glacier. Photographs show that by July this year it had melted and disappeared.

"I was gobsmacked. It [was] like looking into the Grand Canyon full of ice and coming back two years later to find it full of water," Hubbard said.

This story originally appeared in the Guardian. OnEarth is part of the Guardian Environment Network.

image of John Vidal
John Vidal is the Guardian's environment editor. He joined the paper in 1995 after working for Agence France Presse, North Wales Newspapers and the Cumberland News. He is the author of McLibel: Burger Culture on Trial (1998) and has contributed cha... READ MORE >
ALGORE is my shepherd; I shall not think. He maketh me lie down in Greenzi pastures: He leadeth me beside the still-freezing waters. He selleth my soul for CO2: He leadeth me in the paths of self-righteousness for his own sake. Yea, though I walk through the valley of the shadow of reason, I will fear no logic: for thou art with me and thinking for me; Thy Gore’s family oil fortune and thy 10,000 square Gorey foot mansion, they comfort me. Thou preparest a movie in the presence of contradictory evidence: Thou anointest mine head with nonsense; my fear runneth over. Surely blind faith and hysteria shall follow me all the days of my life: and I will dwell in the house of ALGORE forever. Our Pledge: We must trust the carbon trading markets and corporations and politicians to manage the temperature of the planet. We must call it consensus even though all of the thousands of consensus scientists all have their own special, personal and unique views of CO2 climate crisis. We must trust the good and trustworthy politicians who promise to lower the seas and make the weather colder by taxing the air. We must continue to believe in climate change crisis despite Obama not even mentioning the crisis in his state of the union address. We must believe in climate change even though the number of consensus scientists vastly outnumbers the marching climate change protesters. We must believe in climate change h e l l and spread our love for the planet as we condemn billions to a CO2 death just to make sure the kids turn the lights out more often and vote progressive when they reach voting age. We must believe even though the thousands of consensus scientists refuse to march in the streets themselves. Don't they have families to save too?
Amen.
Unless the Son of Man intervenes that no flesh would be saved alive...
Amazing, it gets more and more compelling every year. I have a humble side project, an app for iPhone that tracks and visualizes melt over the last 30 years. Arctic Watch Check it out if you like! Hope it helps!