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Urban Harvest

Confronting climate change and poverty, a new crop of city farmers comes of age in Africa.
Guardian Environmental Network

Atomic Idyll

image of Bill McKibben
Photo of nuclear reactor
Global warming has given nuclear power new appeal. But is the cost too great?
Power to Save the World: The Truth About Nuclear Energy Gwyneth Cravens Alfred A. Knopf, 464 pp., $27.95
book coverGlobal warming is the biggest thing humans have ever done, and one of only two civilization-scale challenges humans have ever faced. The other is nuclear war -- and hence there is some strange poetic justice in the fact that the uranium atom and the carbon dioxide molecule are now engaged in their own pas de deux. Indeed, as some -- including Gwyneth Cravens in her new book -- tell the tale, it is uranium that will protect us from carbon, uranium that will preserve civilization, uranium that will "save the world." At first blush, this book is an odd choice for Cravens to write. A longtime editor at the New Yorker , where I first knew her in the 1980s, she is a truly fine novelist; Heart's Desire remains one of my favorite books. She shared, as she says in this book, most of the liberal biases of that place and time, including an aversion to nuclear power. In fact, since she spent most of her time in the Hamptons, she was a backer of the movement to mothball the controversial Shoreham reactor, about an hour away on the north shore of New York's Long Island.

But at a party some years later in her native New Mexico, she bumped into Rip Anderson, a scientist at Sandia National Laboratories, with "curly, receding gray hair, a full mustache, blue eyes," a wiry build, a flannel shirt, and an "international reputation in the fields of probabilistic risk assessment, environmental health, and nuclear safety." His manner of speaking, "courteous and laconic, with the occasional archaic word thrown in, reminded me of the Old West." Their conversation sparked this book, Power to Save the World , which the author calls "an unexpected journey through the nuclear world with Rip as my Virgil." Cravens, as Dante, begins each section with a fluttering set of questions: Isn't radiation dangerous? Can't the terrorists turn these things into bombs? What will we do with the waste? And the unflappable Anderson takes her on a suitable field trip -- to a reactor control room or a mine or a waste storage site. In each case she sees that things are not as she has feared, and Anderson seals the deal with some anecdotes about radiation as a small sprin-kling of salt on a plate of hash browns or why the physics of "ground effect" would make it extremely difficult to crash a speeding jet into a relatively squat reactor.

This strategy works well to convey copious amounts of fairly dry information about the risks of a nuclear accident. The only problem is that Anderson is the truest of true believers -- he ends the book with a little sermon about how God sent "the brainiest guys in human history" to crack the atom "and enough uranium and thorium to last for thousands of years." And while Cravens is diligent in following him through the vast nuclear archipelago, she's less diligent in tracking down the opponents of nuclear power to hear their metaphors and statistics. She quotes a couple of former opponents, there's one throwaway sentence apiece from Greenpeace and the Sierra Club, and she scolds Barbra Streisand and "former supermodel" Christie Brinkley for being environmental hypocrites. But other than that, she mostly just lets it Rip.

Which is a shame, because this is an issue that needs as much clear thinking as possible. Cravens performs a real service by doing something too few people have done: comparing the risks of a nuclear reactor with those of its most common competitor, the coal-fired power plant. We know that nuclear power represents some risk; even Anderson says so. But we also know by now that a new conventional coal plant offers a flat-out guarantee of environmental destruction -- even if nothing goes wrong. If everything operates exactly as it's supposed to, a conventional coal plant hastens the greatest environmental cataclysm, with the highest risk to our health, in human history. Environmentalists need to understand that times and circumstances change, and they need to rethink priorities. It's not enough for greens to say that nuclear power is risky and comes with consequences; everything comes with consequences.

The trouble, however, is that Cravens does a less credible job of asking another, even more important, question: whether nuclear reactors represent the wisest possible alternative to fossil fuels. She's so captivated by her protagonist that she doesn't bring him into conflict with others who have different ideas: She doesn't use, say, the brilliant device that John McPhee employed when he floated down the Colorado with David Brower and his arch-nemesis, the dam-builder Floyd Dominy. If she'd driven north for a day from New Mexico, for instance, she could have spent some time with Amory Lovins, director of the Rocky Mountain Institute and longtime advocate of a different energy path. As charismatic in his way as Anderson is (though not as laconic), Lovins has been working with myriad Fortune 500 companies (and the Department of Defense) in recent years to plot a very different energy future. Instead of promoting the massive and centralized power system represented by nuclear energy, Lovins imagines a much more supple, decentralized electricity grid -- "distributed power," he calls it -- taking advantage of everything from solar and wind to cogeneration and small-scale natural gas. And he's been doing more than imagine it. He's been watching it grow, much faster than nuclear power is growing.

Lovins is a gospel preacher, too. He's been harping on energy conservation for two decades, and with increasing success (big companies like DuPont have managed to trim their energy budgets radically; Lovins's own house high in the Rockies uses essentially no energy in the course of a year). While private capital is financing the growth in micropower, "only huge subsidies have kept the nuclear power industry alive," Lovins says. Reactors, he notes, "are bought only by central planners."

For their part, Anderson and Cravens would probably argue that smaller-scale solutions like renewables and distributed energy are too unreliable and intermittent to supply uninterrupted "baseload" power around the clock. Lovins would come back with recent data showing that as networks of wind, solar, and tide power start to grow in Europe, they actually complement one other much better than previously imagined. (A study released in July, for instance, shows that onshore winds on the hottest summer days mean that the new windmills planned for Cape Cod will coincide perfectly with peak air-conditioning demand.)

And it's not just Lovins. Cravens could have talked to swashbucklers like the venture capitalist Travis Bradford, whose Solar Revolution , published last year by MIT Press, made the case that technological advances were dramatically accelerating the integration of photovoltaic panels into our energy economy.

The real risk of the moment is not, in other words, from radiation or nuclear accident. The real risk is that we'll squander opportunity and resources on the wrong solutions. Given that a new nuclear plant costs $3 billion, is there a way of spending that sum that would reduce carbon emissions more quickly? Would we be better off building co-generation plants to make use of the waste heat disappearing up smokestacks? Should we invest more in energy conservation? The danger of wasting money and time in the fight against global warming is the nightmare that haunts me the most, because this wave is breaking over our heads, and we'd better choose right the first time.

Cravens, unfortunately, does little to bolster our confidence in her conclusions on this score. Her treatment of wind power, for instance, is perfunctory -- she gives exactly the same kind of blind credence to the arguments of opponents that she criticizes in people who fear nuclear power. After dismissing the problems of nuclear waste storage, it seems strange to seriously engage the idea that lubricants leaking from off-shore windmills will devastate the oceans.

Cravens has written an impassioned brief for the nuclear industry. Too impassioned, perhaps, but that's not the problem. What we need right now is fewer passionate briefs and more work to understand which emerging technologies provide the cheapest, quickest, and most transformative solutions. The closest such attempt so far is the report last May from Working Group III of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Its team of economists did not turn their backs on nuclear energy, but they didn't say it would save the world, either. Their assessment was that by 2030 it should pro-vide 18 percent of the planet's electricity, up from 16 percent at the moment.

There are no silver bullets in the fight against climate change, only silver buckshot. Some of the pellets may be radioactive, but not all that many.

image of Bill McKibben
Bill McKibben is a contributing editor to OnEarth. He is the author of Eaarth, The End of Nature, Deep Economy, and numerous other books and is the founder of the environmental organizations Step It Up and 350.org. He is a scholar in residence at Mid... READ MORE >

I agree with being concerned that nuclear is the savior of all ills and that we need clear and honest evaluation of all alternatives. But I do not seen wind or solar or the other avenues mentioned here able to overcome the world wide energy demand today, much less tomorrow. We can do better, be more efficient, use less energy, but in the end we need some much of it to replace all the coal and oil plants, to increase the standard of living in the rest of the world, and to reprocess resources or grow food, that we can't afford not to pick every alternative source. I would like to see the many better nuclear approaches like thorium and liquid reactors rather than the status quo.

I spent 40 years designing and operating every type of energy generation device imaginable - from nuclear, coal, combined cycle, waste to energy, biomass, and distributed
generation. I now make a living (and have a vested interest in) designing and advocating wind, solar, distributed generation and conservation. I am a LEED AP and a PE. I have no connection to the nuclear industry,

However, I can do all the calculations and know intimately what it takes to finance, site, and operate any type of energy generation device.

I wish I had the space to eleborate but I don't. The bottom line: Renewables and conservation are great and should be pursued, but their contribution will always be a minor contributor to what this world needs to preserve peace, life, and well-being. Nuclear power is the only practical answer to the vast amount of energy the 6 billion inhabitants of this planet need (just to be kept fed).

Its frustrating to me to see this dithering about nuclear issues which are all solvable. If we don't adopt nuclear on a vast world-wide scale, this planet will be hell in 50 years.

I know you intend well, but you are doing the world a vast disservice by helping to confuse people and delay the work necessary.

Unfortunately, Bill, you are agreeing with the establishment energy industry when you claim that there are no silver bullets in the fight against climate change. Most of the established companies want everyone to believe that mantra because they make equipment for all of the energy sectors or because they operate a variety of power plants. The reality is that Rip and Gwyneth have the right idea. Nuclear fission is a real silver bullet - though there are actually three materials of interest including uranium, thorium and plutonium. A single handful of either of those heavy metals contains as much energy as 2 million pounds of oil, which is the most energy dense chemical fuel available. When those heavy metals fission, they leave behind left overs that are just as compact. The dense nature of the wastes is a very good thing - they allow simple containers to fully isolate those wastes from the environment. Fission is not just for electrical power production; it is supplying district heating systems in Sweden and Switzerland, it can provide industrial process heat, and it has been pushing ships around the ocean since January 17, 1955 when the USS Nautilus reported that it was "Underway on nuclear power." I maintain that many people have been carefully taught to be afraid of nuclear energy because it is threatening to the fossil fuel industry and its market dominance. If we had not listened to Ralph Nader and Amory Lovins in the 1970s, and we had continued to build nuclear plants at the rate at which we were building them from 1963-1973, we would no longer be burning any coal or much natural gas in electric power plants. Of course, that would have led to a huge shift in market power and wealth. Not surprisingly, the owners of that power and wealth saw the trends and took action to resist them. One of their actions was to employ Amory Lovins, who told Amy Goodman the following during a July 16, 2008 interview: "You know, I’ve worked for major oil companies for about thirty-five years, and they understand how expensive it is to drill for oil." In his seminal work titled "Energy Strategy: The Road Not Taken" published by Foreign Affairs in 1976, Lovins made a lot of predictions about renewable energy and energy use patterns. In that paper, he predicted that the US would no longer be using nuclear energy by the year 2000. About the only prediction that came true was the one that said that we would see a doubling of coal use. In 1976, the US used about 550 million tons of coal, last year it was about 1.1 billion tons. When it comes to energy advice, I would prefer to get it from an experienced and qualified professional like Rip Anderson instead of asking a "gospel preacher" like Lovins who could not be bothered to even finish a single degree program. Rod Adams Publisher, Atomic Insights
So Bill, where are these "facts" against nuclear power that you allude to? Cravens' book is chock full of relevant peer-reviewed facts. Too bad environmentalists like you are apt to use their "intuition" and regurgitate the overblown fears of nuclear power. The oft repeated economic arguments against nuclear forget that coal/fossil generated are massively subsidized and highly under-regulated. Fossil fuels are not taxed for the environmental damage they do, although Europe is slightly ahead of USA on this. The mining of coal is the most destructive activity of humanity, and fly ash slurry is the ugliest thing you've ever seen. Uranium mining is much better because so much less of it needs to be done. And if you fear radiation, you should fear coal: the burning of coal annually puts many tons of uranium and thorium in the place you least want it: your lungs. Fact: commercial nuclear has not physically harmed a single person in the USA ever. Coal kills 24,000 Americans annually. Don't like spent nuclear fuel? Recycle it, or bury it at WIPP if you must. It's completely safe (except politically). When will you people wake up? We are rapidly destroying the biosphere and need to reach out to the proven safe solution right under our noses now.